Forecast models from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF point to a minimum near 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that enable moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime and consistent northeasterly Etesian winds of 4–8 m/s. These conditions limit stronger surface cooling compared to calmer nights, while Istanbul’s urban heat island and proximity to the Bosphorus add a slight warming bias versus rural baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows typical overnight lows of 21–22°C, with trader odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C reflecting model spread and uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations. Updated runs later today could refine this before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
8月21日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
23°C 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
17°C or below
35%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
29%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
23°C 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
17°C or below
$109 Vol.
35%
18°C
$173 Vol.
59%
19°C
$123 Vol.
59%
20°C
$177 Vol.
29%
21°C
$6 Vol.
34%
22°C
$16 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$227 Vol.
1%
25°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF point to a minimum near 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that enable moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime and consistent northeasterly Etesian winds of 4–8 m/s. These conditions limit stronger surface cooling compared to calmer nights, while Istanbul’s urban heat island and proximity to the Bosphorus add a slight warming bias versus rural baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows typical overnight lows of 21–22°C, with trader odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C reflecting model spread and uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations. Updated runs later today could refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$2,561終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF point to a minimum near 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that enable moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime and consistent northeasterly Etesian winds of 4–8 m/s. These conditions limit stronger surface cooling compared to calmer nights, while Istanbul’s urban heat island and proximity to the Bosphorus add a slight warming bias versus rural baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows typical overnight lows of 21–22°C, with trader odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C reflecting model spread and uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations. Updated runs later today could refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,561終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF point to a minimum near 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that enable moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime and consistent northeasterly Etesian winds of 4–8 m/s. These conditions limit stronger surface cooling compared to calmer nights, while Istanbul’s urban heat island and proximity to the Bosphorus add a slight warming bias versus rural baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows typical overnight lows of 21–22°C, with trader odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C reflecting model spread and uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations. Updated runs later today could refine this before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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