Persistent marine layer advection from the Pacific, currently around 1,000–1,500 feet deep with west to northwest winds of 10–20 mph, is the main driver keeping San Francisco overnight lows seasonably cool for August 22. Official NWS and model guidance point to upper-50s readings under increasing stratus and patchy fog, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 56 °F and typical onshore flow patterns. Trader emphasis on the 49 °F-or-below bin reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and possible localized cooling in fog-prone microclimates, while bins near 56–57 °F capture the central forecast. New model runs and marine updates tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
8月22日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
49°F以下 94%
66〜67°F 50%
68°F以上 49%
50〜51°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
49°F以下
94%
50〜51°F
39%
52〜53°F
26%
54〜55°F
26%
56～57°F
30%
58～59°F
31%
60〜61°F
26%
62〜63°F
26%
64〜65°F
26%
66〜67°F
50%
68°F以上
49%
49°F以下 94%
66〜67°F 50%
68°F以上 49%
50〜51°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
49°F以下
$25 Vol.
94%
50〜51°F
$25 Vol.
39%
52〜53°F
$0 Vol.
26%
54〜55°F
$0 Vol.
26%
56～57°F
$0 Vol.
30%
58～59°F
$0 Vol.
31%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62〜63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66〜67°F
$25 Vol.
50%
68°F以上
$25 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer advection from the Pacific, currently around 1,000–1,500 feet deep with west to northwest winds of 10–20 mph, is the main driver keeping San Francisco overnight lows seasonably cool for August 22. Official NWS and model guidance point to upper-50s readings under increasing stratus and patchy fog, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 56 °F and typical onshore flow patterns. Trader emphasis on the 49 °F-or-below bin reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and possible localized cooling in fog-prone microclimates, while bins near 56–57 °F capture the central forecast. New model runs and marine updates tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
音量
$100終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer advection from the Pacific, currently around 1,000–1,500 feet deep with west to northwest winds of 10–20 mph, is the main driver keeping San Francisco overnight lows seasonably cool for August 22. Official NWS and model guidance point to upper-50s readings under increasing stratus and patchy fog, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 56 °F and typical onshore flow patterns. Trader emphasis on the 49 °F-or-below bin reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and possible localized cooling in fog-prone microclimates, while bins near 56–57 °F capture the central forecast. New model runs and marine updates tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$100終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETPersistent marine layer advection from the Pacific, currently around 1,000–1,500 feet deep with west to northwest winds of 10–20 mph, is the main driver keeping San Francisco overnight lows seasonably cool for August 22. Official NWS and model guidance point to upper-50s readings under increasing stratus and patchy fog, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 56 °F and typical onshore flow patterns. Trader emphasis on the 49 °F-or-below bin reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and possible localized cooling in fog-prone microclimates, while bins near 56–57 °F capture the central forecast. New model runs and marine updates tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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