Recent forecasts from multiple models place Qingdao’s August 25 daily maximum near 29 °C under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, yet trader odds cluster on 32–33 °C because short-range ensembles still show spread from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating rates. Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, but any reduction in onshore flow or increased insolation could add 2–3 °C. With resolution two days away and official guidance still fluid, the tight distribution between 32 °C and 34 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon temperature peaks rather than consensus on a single value. Updated model runs tomorrow will likely sharpen the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の青島の最高気温は?
33°C 42%
32℃ 29%
34℃ 21%
31°C 9%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
2%
29℃
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32℃
29%
33°C
42%
34℃
21%
35℃以上
3%
33°C 42%
32℃ 29%
34℃ 21%
31°C 9%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
2%
29℃
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32℃
29%
33°C
42%
34℃
21%
35℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models place Qingdao’s August 25 daily maximum near 29 °C under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, yet trader odds cluster on 32–33 °C because short-range ensembles still show spread from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating rates. Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, but any reduction in onshore flow or increased insolation could add 2–3 °C. With resolution two days away and official guidance still fluid, the tight distribution between 32 °C and 34 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon temperature peaks rather than consensus on a single value. Updated model runs tomorrow will likely sharpen the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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