Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の青島の最低気温は？
8月24日の青島の最低気温は？
22°C以下 94%
32℃以上 46%
28℃ 37%
23℃ 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
22°C以下
94%
23℃
36%
24℃
36%
25°C
36%
26℃
19%
27°C
19%
28℃
37%
29℃
2%
30℃
36%
31℃
36%
32℃以上
46%
22°C以下 94%
32℃以上 46%
28℃ 37%
23℃ 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
22°C以下
$0 Vol.
94%
23℃
$0 Vol.
36%
24℃
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26℃
$18 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28℃
$0 Vol.
37%
29℃
$0 Vol.
2%
30℃
$0 Vol.
36%
31℃
$0 Vol.
36%
32℃以上
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$18終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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