Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration show a daytime high near 32°C for Taipei on August 24, with overnight lows around 26°C and a 70% chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs indicate persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover as the main factors capping temperatures below the 34–36°C peaks seen earlier in August, while the urban heat island effect and light winds support the upper end of the range. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–32°C because small shifts in rainfall timing or wind direction can swing the observed maximum by 2–3°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could tilt implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の台北の最高気温は?
29°C 22%
32°C or higher 22%
31°C 20%
30°C 19%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
22%
29°C 22%
32°C or higher 22%
31°C 20%
30°C 19%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration show a daytime high near 32°C for Taipei on August 24, with overnight lows around 26°C and a 70% chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs indicate persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover as the main factors capping temperatures below the 34–36°C peaks seen earlier in August, while the urban heat island effect and light winds support the upper end of the range. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–32°C because small shifts in rainfall timing or wind direction can swing the observed maximum by 2–3°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could tilt implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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