Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow blocks project minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 24 amid widespread cloud cover and 70–80% thunderstorm probability, consistent with WeatherBug guidance of an 81°F (27°C) overnight low. Persistent monsoon humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit nighttime temperature drops, while variable steering winds and localized rainfall timing introduce modest uncertainty across ensemble models. This supports tight market clustering around the 26–27°C outcomes, with traders pricing in typical August climatology of suppressed diurnal ranges rather than outlier cooling or warming. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のラクナウの最低気温は?
21°C以下 59%
31℃以上 59%
29℃ 48%
23°C 47%
21°C以下
59%
22°C
39%
23°C
47%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26℃
33%
27℃
38%
28°C
28%
29℃
48%
30°C
8%
31℃以上
59%
21°C以下 59%
31℃以上 59%
29℃ 48%
23°C 47%
21°C以下
59%
22°C
39%
23°C
47%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26℃
33%
27℃
38%
28°C
28%
29℃
48%
30°C
8%
31℃以上
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow blocks project minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 24 amid widespread cloud cover and 70–80% thunderstorm probability, consistent with WeatherBug guidance of an 81°F (27°C) overnight low. Persistent monsoon humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit nighttime temperature drops, while variable steering winds and localized rainfall timing introduce modest uncertainty across ensemble models. This supports tight market clustering around the 26–27°C outcomes, with traders pricing in typical August climatology of suppressed diurnal ranges rather than outlier cooling or warming. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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