Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Istanbul overnight lows near the historical late-August average of 20–22°C on August 24, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and Bosphorus-influenced advection that can enhance or suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds between the 28°C-or-higher bucket and the 18°C-or-below bucket, while narrower outcomes clustered around 20–24°C reflect trader consensus on baseline values. Short-range model runs exhibit typical divergence at the 48–72-hour horizon, particularly regarding high-pressure strength and marine-layer effects, leaving room for last-minute shifts before official Turkish Meteorological Service observations finalize the lowest reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
8月24日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
28℃以上 96%
18°C以下 94%
19℃ 37%
25°C 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C以下
94%
19℃
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27℃
37%
28℃以上
96%
28℃以上 96%
18°C以下 94%
19℃ 37%
25°C 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C以下
$5 Vol.
94%
19℃
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27℃
$5 Vol.
37%
28℃以上
$5 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Istanbul overnight lows near the historical late-August average of 20–22°C on August 24, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and Bosphorus-influenced advection that can enhance or suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds between the 28°C-or-higher bucket and the 18°C-or-below bucket, while narrower outcomes clustered around 20–24°C reflect trader consensus on baseline values. Short-range model runs exhibit typical divergence at the 48–72-hour horizon, particularly regarding high-pressure strength and marine-layer effects, leaving room for last-minute shifts before official Turkish Meteorological Service observations finalize the lowest reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
音量
$30終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Istanbul overnight lows near the historical late-August average of 20–22°C on August 24, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and Bosphorus-influenced advection that can enhance or suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds between the 28°C-or-higher bucket and the 18°C-or-below bucket, while narrower outcomes clustered around 20–24°C reflect trader consensus on baseline values. Short-range model runs exhibit typical divergence at the 48–72-hour horizon, particularly regarding high-pressure strength and marine-layer effects, leaving room for last-minute shifts before official Turkish Meteorological Service observations finalize the lowest reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$30終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Istanbul overnight lows near the historical late-August average of 20–22°C on August 24, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and Bosphorus-influenced advection that can enhance or suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds between the 28°C-or-higher bucket and the 18°C-or-below bucket, while narrower outcomes clustered around 20–24°C reflect trader consensus on baseline values. Short-range model runs exhibit typical divergence at the 48–72-hour horizon, particularly regarding high-pressure strength and marine-layer effects, leaving room for last-minute shifts before official Turkish Meteorological Service observations finalize the lowest reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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