Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
8月24日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
20°C or below 92%
21°C 46%
30°C or higher 45%
23°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
20°C or below
92%
21°C
46%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
45%
20°C or below 92%
21°C 46%
30°C or higher 45%
23°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
92%
21°C
$5 Vol.
46%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$4 Vol.
15%
28°C
$4 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
音量
$28終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$28終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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