**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's lowest temperature on August 23, 2026, centers on the mid-20s °C range because current forecast models and seasonal climatology align on typical Mediterranean summer overnight cooling.** With the market date only two days away, the leading 26°C outcome (44% implied probability) and clustered support for 25°C and 27°C reflect consensus guidance from regional models showing minimums near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Clear skies, light westerly winds, and the moderating influence of the adjacent Mediterranean Sea limit radiative cooling while preventing extremes, producing stable nocturnal lows without significant synoptic forcing or moisture intrusions that could alter temperatures. Recent data releases and model runs through mid-August show no notable departures from baseline conditions—highs near 31°C and minimal precipitation risk—reinforcing trader weighting toward these central outcomes ahead of final verification. Uncertainties remain from potential late adjustments in sea-breeze timing or subtle boundary-layer mixing, but current evidence supports the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
26°C 56%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
21°C or below
8%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
49%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 56%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
21°C or below
8%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
49%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's lowest temperature on August 23, 2026, centers on the mid-20s °C range because current forecast models and seasonal climatology align on typical Mediterranean summer overnight cooling.** With the market date only two days away, the leading 26°C outcome (44% implied probability) and clustered support for 25°C and 27°C reflect consensus guidance from regional models showing minimums near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Clear skies, light westerly winds, and the moderating influence of the adjacent Mediterranean Sea limit radiative cooling while preventing extremes, producing stable nocturnal lows without significant synoptic forcing or moisture intrusions that could alter temperatures. Recent data releases and model runs through mid-August show no notable departures from baseline conditions—highs near 31°C and minimal precipitation risk—reinforcing trader weighting toward these central outcomes ahead of final verification. Uncertainties remain from potential late adjustments in sea-breeze timing or subtle boundary-layer mixing, but current evidence supports the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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