Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のモスクワの最低気温は?
9℃以下 94%
19℃以上 90%
16℃ 37%
17°C 37%
9℃以下
94%
10℃
19%
11℃
19%
12℃
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16℃
37%
17°C
37%
18℃
37%
19℃以上
90%
9℃以下 94%
19℃以上 90%
16℃ 37%
17°C 37%
9℃以下
94%
10℃
19%
11℃
19%
12℃
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16℃
37%
17°C
37%
18℃
37%
19℃以上
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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