**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range. This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のヘルシンキの最低気温は？
8月24日のヘルシンキの最低気温は？
8°C以下 49%
18°C以上 48%
15°C 36%
16℃ 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
8°C以下
49%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12℃
19%
13℃
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16℃
36%
17°C
36%
18°C以上
48%
8°C以下 49%
18°C以上 48%
15°C 36%
16℃ 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12℃
$0 Vol.
19%
13℃
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$4 Vol.
19%
15°C
$5 Vol.
36%
16℃
$5 Vol.
36%
17°C
$5 Vol.
36%
18°C以上
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range.
This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
音量
$24終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range.
This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range. This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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