Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models show Munich’s August 23 maximum stabilizing near 21–23°C under building high pressure, light northerly flow, and partly cloudy skies after Friday’s showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the historical late-August mean of roughly 23°C. Trader consensus (43% on 22°C, 39% on 23°C) reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on final observed peak from official Munich station data; any last-model shift in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the result between those two leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
22°C 44%
23°C 30%
21°C 13%
20°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
13%
22°C
44%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 44%
23°C 30%
21°C 13%
20°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
13%
22°C
44%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models show Munich’s August 23 maximum stabilizing near 21–23°C under building high pressure, light northerly flow, and partly cloudy skies after Friday’s showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the historical late-August mean of roughly 23°C. Trader consensus (43% on 22°C, 39% on 23°C) reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on final observed peak from official Munich station data; any last-model shift in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the result between those two leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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