Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C on August 25, driven by expected afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of Taipei's subtropical summer regime. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods, while steering patterns and sea-breeze effects moderate urban temperatures. The tight spread across 30–32°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts over the next 48 hours, with historical August maxima averaging 32–34°C but frequently suppressed by monsoonal moisture. Traders weigh ensemble consensus against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の台北の最高気温は?
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
25%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
25%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C on August 25, driven by expected afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of Taipei's subtropical summer regime. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods, while steering patterns and sea-breeze effects moderate urban temperatures. The tight spread across 30–32°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts over the next 48 hours, with historical August maxima averaging 32–34°C but frequently suppressed by monsoonal moisture. Traders weigh ensemble consensus against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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