Persistent heat across the southern Plains, fueled by strong high pressure and southerly flow, drives trader focus on Dallas highs near or above 102°F for August 23. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and recent model runs indicate mostly sunny skies with highs potentially reaching 107–108°F, well above the 96°F August normal, though afternoon moisture or slight steering variations could trim peaks. This uncertainty across ensemble guidance supports the clustered probabilities from 102–111°F, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited potential for records or significant cooling under the current synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のダラスの最高気温は?
106-107°F 45%
104-105°F 29%
108-109°F 22%
102-103°F 7%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
45%
108-109°F
22%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
4%
114-115°F
4%
116-117°F
2%
118-119°F
2%
120°F or higher
1%
106-107°F 45%
104-105°F 29%
108-109°F 22%
102-103°F 7%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
45%
108-109°F
22%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
4%
114-115°F
4%
116-117°F
2%
118-119°F
2%
120°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heat across the southern Plains, fueled by strong high pressure and southerly flow, drives trader focus on Dallas highs near or above 102°F for August 23. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and recent model runs indicate mostly sunny skies with highs potentially reaching 107–108°F, well above the 96°F August normal, though afternoon moisture or slight steering variations could trim peaks. This uncertainty across ensemble guidance supports the clustered probabilities from 102–111°F, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited potential for records or significant cooling under the current synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問