Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a daily maximum around 31–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, supported by a lingering Pacific high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, tempered by possible afternoon instability and scattered showers. Current conditions show persistent heat with highs near 32–33°C amid elevated humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical maxima reach 30–32°C. Model consensus favors 32°C as the most probable peak, while any stronger onshore flow or convective cooling could cap readings at 31°C; conversely, clearer skies could push toward 33–34°C. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations in the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の東京の最高気温は？
8月24日の東京の最高気温は？
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
25°C or below
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$8 Vol.
4%
30°C
$9 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$28 Vol.
40%
33°C
$26 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$42 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a daily maximum around 31–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, supported by a lingering Pacific high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, tempered by possible afternoon instability and scattered showers. Current conditions show persistent heat with highs near 32–33°C amid elevated humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical maxima reach 30–32°C. Model consensus favors 32°C as the most probable peak, while any stronger onshore flow or convective cooling could cap readings at 31°C; conversely, clearer skies could push toward 33–34°C. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations in the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,414終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a daily maximum around 31–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, supported by a lingering Pacific high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, tempered by possible afternoon instability and scattered showers. Current conditions show persistent heat with highs near 32–33°C amid elevated humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical maxima reach 30–32°C. Model consensus favors 32°C as the most probable peak, while any stronger onshore flow or convective cooling could cap readings at 31°C; conversely, clearer skies could push toward 33–34°C. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations in the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,414終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a daily maximum around 31–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, supported by a lingering Pacific high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, tempered by possible afternoon instability and scattered showers. Current conditions show persistent heat with highs near 32–33°C amid elevated humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical maxima reach 30–32°C. Model consensus favors 32°C as the most probable peak, while any stronger onshore flow or convective cooling could cap readings at 31°C; conversely, clearer skies could push toward 33–34°C. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations in the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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