Current numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles point to Tokyo's overnight low on August 24 settling near 23–25 °C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts show partly cloudy skies or scattered showers, which could modestly suppress the minimum by retaining heat overnight, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo tends to elevate readings relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology for the period supports averages around 24 °C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の東京の最低気温は？
8月24日の東京の最低気温は？
25°C 53%
26°C 22%
24°C 19%
23°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C
48%
26°C
29%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 53%
26°C 22%
24°C 19%
23°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$4 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$17 Vol.
48%
26°C
$98 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles point to Tokyo's overnight low on August 24 settling near 23–25 °C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts show partly cloudy skies or scattered showers, which could modestly suppress the minimum by retaining heat overnight, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo tends to elevate readings relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology for the period supports averages around 24 °C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$129終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles point to Tokyo's overnight low on August 24 settling near 23–25 °C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts show partly cloudy skies or scattered showers, which could modestly suppress the minimum by retaining heat overnight, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo tends to elevate readings relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology for the period supports averages around 24 °C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$129終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles point to Tokyo's overnight low on August 24 settling near 23–25 °C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts show partly cloudy skies or scattered showers, which could modestly suppress the minimum by retaining heat overnight, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo tends to elevate readings relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology for the period supports averages around 24 °C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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