Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の鄭州の最高気温は？
8月23日の鄭州の最高気温は？
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$40終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$40終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問