**Strong northwest winds and associated warm advection are positioning 15°C as the market favorite for Wellington's highest temperature on August 23.** Multiple models, including MetService guidance and international ensembles, converge on a daytime maximum around 14–15°C (57°F) amid gale-force NW flows, with rain likely but insufficient to suppress the peak under the strong gradient. This is several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, reflecting a transient warm sector before cooler southwesterlies arrive later. Traders have priced 15°C at 52.5% and 16°C at 33.5% because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent runs show little downside risk below 14°C. Key near-term catalysts include the next model cycles and any adjustments to wind timing or frontal passage, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月23日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 53%
16°C 34%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
53%
16°C
34%
17°C
6%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 53%
16°C 34%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
9°C or below
$560 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$365 Vol.
1%
12°C
$362 Vol.
1%
13°C
$428 Vol.
2%
14°C
$846 Vol.
7%
15°C
$998 Vol.
53%
16°C
$1,456 Vol.
34%
17°C
$616 Vol.
6%
18°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong northwest winds and associated warm advection are positioning 15°C as the market favorite for Wellington's highest temperature on August 23.** Multiple models, including MetService guidance and international ensembles, converge on a daytime maximum around 14–15°C (57°F) amid gale-force NW flows, with rain likely but insufficient to suppress the peak under the strong gradient. This is several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, reflecting a transient warm sector before cooler southwesterlies arrive later. Traders have priced 15°C at 52.5% and 16°C at 33.5% because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent runs show little downside risk below 14°C. Key near-term catalysts include the next model cycles and any adjustments to wind timing or frontal passage, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$6,763終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong northwest winds and associated warm advection are positioning 15°C as the market favorite for Wellington's highest temperature on August 23.** Multiple models, including MetService guidance and international ensembles, converge on a daytime maximum around 14–15°C (57°F) amid gale-force NW flows, with rain likely but insufficient to suppress the peak under the strong gradient. This is several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, reflecting a transient warm sector before cooler southwesterlies arrive later. Traders have priced 15°C at 52.5% and 16°C at 33.5% because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent runs show little downside risk below 14°C. Key near-term catalysts include the next model cycles and any adjustments to wind timing or frontal passage, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,763終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Strong northwest winds and associated warm advection are positioning 15°C as the market favorite for Wellington's highest temperature on August 23.** Multiple models, including MetService guidance and international ensembles, converge on a daytime maximum around 14–15°C (57°F) amid gale-force NW flows, with rain likely but insufficient to suppress the peak under the strong gradient. This is several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, reflecting a transient warm sector before cooler southwesterlies arrive later. Traders have priced 15°C at 52.5% and 16°C at 33.5% because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent runs show little downside risk below 14°C. Key near-term catalysts include the next model cycles and any adjustments to wind timing or frontal passage, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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