Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8月23日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
11℃ 45%
12°C 19%
10°C 16%
9℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
5°C以下
1%
6℃
1%
7℃
7%
8°C
10%
9℃
13%
10°C
16%
11℃
45%
12°C
19%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C以上
1%
11℃ 45%
12°C 19%
10°C 16%
9℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
5°C以下
$32 Vol.
1%
6℃
$75 Vol.
1%
7℃
$61 Vol.
7%
8°C
$0 Vol.
10%
9℃
$0 Vol.
13%
10°C
$0 Vol.
16%
11℃
$52 Vol.
45%
12°C
$55 Vol.
19%
13°C
$27 Vol.
7%
14°C
$11 Vol.
1%
15°C以上
$39 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$352終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$352終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問