Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の北京の最低気温は？
8月24日の北京の最低気温は？
19°C or below 84%
29°C以上 48%
21°C 44%
23°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
19°C or below
84%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
23%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
23%
28°C
8%
29°C以上
48%
19°C or below 84%
29°C以上 48%
21°C 44%
23°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
84%
20°C
$5 Vol.
18%
21°C
$5 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$310 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C以上
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$335終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$335終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問