**A broad low-pressure trough over southern China is driving unsettled conditions across Hong Kong through August 24, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a minimum of 27°C under cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms.** South to southwest winds of 4–5 (gusts to 6 on high ground) will enhance mixing and limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity (75–95%) and expected rainfall suppress temperature drops. Nearby tropical systems, including one lingering near Beibu Wan and another tracking toward eastern China, add uncertainty to shower timing and intensity, which can either enhance cooling through evaporation or maintain warmer overnight air via cloud cover and wind. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where typical minima hover near 26–27°C amid frequent monsoon influences. Model outputs and observational trends from the past 48 hours show consensus clustering around 26–28°C, with the slight market edge to 27°C reflecting the official guidance and the moderating effects of persistent cloud and precipitation. Resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory; updated forecasts or shifts in tropical cyclone tracks could quickly adjust probabilities within the narrow 26–28°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の香港の最低気温は？
8月24日の香港の最低気温は？
27°C 28%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
30°C 19%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
24%
27°C
28%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
30°C 19%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
24%
27°C
28%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**A broad low-pressure trough over southern China is driving unsettled conditions across Hong Kong through August 24, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a minimum of 27°C under cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms.** South to southwest winds of 4–5 (gusts to 6 on high ground) will enhance mixing and limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity (75–95%) and expected rainfall suppress temperature drops. Nearby tropical systems, including one lingering near Beibu Wan and another tracking toward eastern China, add uncertainty to shower timing and intensity, which can either enhance cooling through evaporation or maintain warmer overnight air via cloud cover and wind. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where typical minima hover near 26–27°C amid frequent monsoon influences. Model outputs and observational trends from the past 48 hours show consensus clustering around 26–28°C, with the slight market edge to 27°C reflecting the official guidance and the moderating effects of persistent cloud and precipitation. Resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory; updated forecasts or shifts in tropical cyclone tracks could quickly adjust probabilities within the narrow 26–28°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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