Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and 60–70% thunderstorm coverage that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 26–29°C amid highs of 35–38°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative event expected before resolution. This consensus places the outcome near the 27°C and 26°C bins while explaining elevated trader probabilities on both 29°C+ and sub-20°C extremes, reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and regional stations will provide the decisive observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の重慶の最低気温は?
29°C or higher 93%
19°C or below 89%
24°C 86%
28°C 85%
19°C or below
89%
20°C
7%
21°C
44%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
86%
25°C
44%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
85%
29°C or higher
93%
29°C or higher 93%
19°C or below 89%
24°C 86%
28°C 85%
19°C or below
89%
20°C
7%
21°C
44%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
86%
25°C
44%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
85%
29°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and 60–70% thunderstorm coverage that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 26–29°C amid highs of 35–38°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative event expected before resolution. This consensus places the outcome near the 27°C and 26°C bins while explaining elevated trader probabilities on both 29°C+ and sub-20°C extremes, reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and regional stations will provide the decisive observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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