Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 23–26°C for August 23 amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns with thundershowers and light variable winds. These conditions support the closely matched market-implied odds near 49.5% for 25°C or higher versus 48.5% for 15°C or below, reflecting model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling under humid, cloudy skies. Historical August minima average near 22–25°C with rare drops below 20°C, while current steering patterns and precipitation could enhance radiative cooling or maintain warmth depending on cloud cover persistence. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official observations will likely refine resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の鄭州の最低気温は?
15°C or below 97%
25°C or higher 50%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
15°C or below
97%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
50%
15°C or below 97%
25°C or higher 50%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
15°C or below
97%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 23–26°C for August 23 amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns with thundershowers and light variable winds. These conditions support the closely matched market-implied odds near 49.5% for 25°C or higher versus 48.5% for 15°C or below, reflecting model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling under humid, cloudy skies. Historical August minima average near 22–25°C with rare drops below 20°C, while current steering patterns and precipitation could enhance radiative cooling or maintain warmth depending on cloud cover persistence. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official observations will likely refine resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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