Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の成都の最低気温は？
8月24日の成都の最低気温は？
20℃以下 87%
22℃ 85%
26℃ 85%
27℃ 85%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
20℃以下
87%
21℃
49%
22℃
85%
23°C
50%
24℃
27%
25°C
46%
26℃
85%
27℃
85%
28°C
5%
29℃
8%
30°C以上
85%
20℃以下 87%
22℃ 85%
26℃ 85%
27℃ 85%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
20℃以下
$0 Vol.
87%
21℃
$0 Vol.
49%
22℃
$0 Vol.
85%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24℃
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26℃
$0 Vol.
85%
27℃
$0 Vol.
85%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29℃
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C以上
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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