Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station indicate persistent subtropical high pressure favoring peak daytime heating near 36–37°C on August 25, tempered by scattered afternoon convection and thunderstorms that introduce cloud cover and localized cooling. High humidity in this monsoon-influenced basin amplifies the urban heat island effect while limiting overnight recovery, keeping the diurnal range modest. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August analogs showing frequent 35–38°C maxima, with model spread in precipitation timing creating the narrow gap between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of the 24–48-hour window will refine whether stronger convection suppresses the high or allows fuller insolation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の重慶の最高気温は?
36°C 31%
37°C 29%
35°C 20%
40°C or higher 16%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
13%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
29%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
16%
36°C 31%
37°C 29%
35°C 20%
40°C or higher 16%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
13%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
29%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station indicate persistent subtropical high pressure favoring peak daytime heating near 36–37°C on August 25, tempered by scattered afternoon convection and thunderstorms that introduce cloud cover and localized cooling. High humidity in this monsoon-influenced basin amplifies the urban heat island effect while limiting overnight recovery, keeping the diurnal range modest. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August analogs showing frequent 35–38°C maxima, with model spread in precipitation timing creating the narrow gap between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of the 24–48-hour window will refine whether stronger convection suppresses the high or allows fuller insolation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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