Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and dew points near 10–12°C that limit afternoon heating. Recent cooling after mid-August highs above 35°C has reinforced this outlook, with consensus across sources centering on 28°C as the most likely peak. The near-even split between 28°C and 29°C in market odds reflects minor model disagreements on cloud timing and wind gusts that could add or subtract roughly 1°C at the daily maximum, while lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the limited chance of stronger afternoon mixing or increased cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月25日のマドリードの最高気温は？
29°C 43%
28°C 41%
27°C 10%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
41%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 41%
27°C 10%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
24°C or below
$439 Vol.
1%
25°C
$350 Vol.
1%
26°C
$804 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,283 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,422 Vol.
41%
29°C
$2,203 Vol.
43%
30°C
$335 Vol.
6%
31°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and dew points near 10–12°C that limit afternoon heating. Recent cooling after mid-August highs above 35°C has reinforced this outlook, with consensus across sources centering on 28°C as the most likely peak. The near-even split between 28°C and 29°C in market odds reflects minor model disagreements on cloud timing and wind gusts that could add or subtract roughly 1°C at the daily maximum, while lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the limited chance of stronger afternoon mixing or increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$8,427終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and dew points near 10–12°C that limit afternoon heating. Recent cooling after mid-August highs above 35°C has reinforced this outlook, with consensus across sources centering on 28°C as the most likely peak. The near-even split between 28°C and 29°C in market odds reflects minor model disagreements on cloud timing and wind gusts that could add or subtract roughly 1°C at the daily maximum, while lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the limited chance of stronger afternoon mixing or increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,427終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and dew points near 10–12°C that limit afternoon heating. Recent cooling after mid-August highs above 35°C has reinforced this outlook, with consensus across sources centering on 28°C as the most likely peak. The near-even split between 28°C and 29°C in market odds reflects minor model disagreements on cloud timing and wind gusts that could add or subtract roughly 1°C at the daily maximum, while lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the limited chance of stronger afternoon mixing or increased cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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