Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月24日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 37%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 37%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$167 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$231 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$362 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$685 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$2,806 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$711 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$120 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$5,740終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,740終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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