Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマドリードの最低気温は？
8月25日のマドリードの最低気温は？
25°C or higher 59%
17°C 31%
18°C 31%
15°C or below 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
15°C or below
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
31%
18°C
31%
19°C
14%
20°C
8%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
59%
25°C or higher 59%
17°C 31%
18°C 31%
15°C or below 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$4 Vol.
7%
22°C
$14 Vol.
4%
23°C
$5 Vol.
5%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$33終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$33終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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