Traders see 37–38°C as the most likely peak for Chongqing on August 26 because current model consensus shows a persistent subtropical ridge suppressing cloud cover and limiting convective cooling across the Sichuan Basin. The city’s topography traps heat and humidity, elevating surface temperatures 2–4°C above regional averages even without extreme advection. Short-range forecasts from agencies project daytime maxima near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies, but any delay in monsoon moisture or slight strengthening of the ridge could push readings into the upper 30s. Resolution hinges on official station observations, with historical late-August variability underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or timing of afternoon thunderstorms can separate the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の重慶の最高気温は?
37°C 32%
38°C 30%
39°C 19%
36°C 12%
32°C or below
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
11%
36°C
12%
37°C
32%
38°C
30%
39°C
19%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 32%
38°C 30%
39°C 19%
36°C 12%
32°C or below
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
11%
36°C
12%
37°C
32%
38°C
30%
39°C
19%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 37–38°C as the most likely peak for Chongqing on August 26 because current model consensus shows a persistent subtropical ridge suppressing cloud cover and limiting convective cooling across the Sichuan Basin. The city’s topography traps heat and humidity, elevating surface temperatures 2–4°C above regional averages even without extreme advection. Short-range forecasts from agencies project daytime maxima near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies, but any delay in monsoon moisture or slight strengthening of the ridge could push readings into the upper 30s. Resolution hinges on official station observations, with historical late-August variability underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or timing of afternoon thunderstorms can separate the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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