**Latest short-range forecasts for Milan on August 26, 2026, cluster tightly around 29–31 °C under high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow and only low (under 20 %) chances of showers.** Multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional outputs, indicate daytime maxima near 30 °C (roughly 86–87 °F), with partly cloudy skies allowing strong but not uninterrupted solar heating. This produces the tight market split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts (32 % and 30 % implied probability), as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift the peak by 1 °C. Recent days have featured similar stable, above-average late-summer warmth without extreme heat advection, keeping ensemble spreads narrow. Resolution hinges on official station readings (typically the highest hourly or daily maximum at Milan’s reference site), so traders weigh the latest model consensus against urban heat-island effects and any last-minute changes in insolation or advection. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds between the top two outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around that narrow temperature band rather than broader meteorological shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のミラノの最高気温は？
8月26日のミラノの最高気温は？
29°C 33%
28°C 30%
30°C 27%
27°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
27%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 33%
28°C 30%
30°C 27%
27°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$71 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
33%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$11 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecasts for Milan on August 26, 2026, cluster tightly around 29–31 °C under high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow and only low (under 20 %) chances of showers.** Multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional outputs, indicate daytime maxima near 30 °C (roughly 86–87 °F), with partly cloudy skies allowing strong but not uninterrupted solar heating. This produces the tight market split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts (32 % and 30 % implied probability), as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift the peak by 1 °C.
Recent days have featured similar stable, above-average late-summer warmth without extreme heat advection, keeping ensemble spreads narrow. Resolution hinges on official station readings (typically the highest hourly or daily maximum at Milan’s reference site), so traders weigh the latest model consensus against urban heat-island effects and any last-minute changes in insolation or advection. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds between the top two outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around that narrow temperature band rather than broader meteorological shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$102終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecasts for Milan on August 26, 2026, cluster tightly around 29–31 °C under high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow and only low (under 20 %) chances of showers.** Multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional outputs, indicate daytime maxima near 30 °C (roughly 86–87 °F), with partly cloudy skies allowing strong but not uninterrupted solar heating. This produces the tight market split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts (32 % and 30 % implied probability), as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift the peak by 1 °C.
Recent days have featured similar stable, above-average late-summer warmth without extreme heat advection, keeping ensemble spreads narrow. Resolution hinges on official station readings (typically the highest hourly or daily maximum at Milan’s reference site), so traders weigh the latest model consensus against urban heat-island effects and any last-minute changes in insolation or advection. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds between the top two outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around that narrow temperature band rather than broader meteorological shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$102終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Latest short-range forecasts for Milan on August 26, 2026, cluster tightly around 29–31 °C under high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow and only low (under 20 %) chances of showers.** Multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional outputs, indicate daytime maxima near 30 °C (roughly 86–87 °F), with partly cloudy skies allowing strong but not uninterrupted solar heating. This produces the tight market split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts (32 % and 30 % implied probability), as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift the peak by 1 °C. Recent days have featured similar stable, above-average late-summer warmth without extreme heat advection, keeping ensemble spreads narrow. Resolution hinges on official station readings (typically the highest hourly or daily maximum at Milan’s reference site), so traders weigh the latest model consensus against urban heat-island effects and any last-minute changes in insolation or advection. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds between the top two outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around that narrow temperature band rather than broader meteorological shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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