Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on August 23, driven by widespread cloud cover, light winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime solar heating and instability. These conditions align with the market’s leading probabilities for 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against typical short-range uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. The pattern reflects a cooler-than-normal August air mass following recent unsettled weather, contrasting with the month’s 24–25°C climatological average. New 00Z and 12Z model runs plus surface observations over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月23日のトロントの最高気温は？
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
27%
21°C
37%
22°C
24%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
15°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$53 Vol.
1%
18°C
$95 Vol.
2%
19°C
$311 Vol.
7%
20°C
$1,138 Vol.
27%
21°C
$147 Vol.
37%
22°C
$852 Vol.
24%
23°C
$343 Vol.
5%
24°C
$101 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$90 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on August 23, driven by widespread cloud cover, light winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime solar heating and instability. These conditions align with the market’s leading probabilities for 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against typical short-range uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. The pattern reflects a cooler-than-normal August air mass following recent unsettled weather, contrasting with the month’s 24–25°C climatological average. New 00Z and 12Z model runs plus surface observations over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$3,366終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on August 23, driven by widespread cloud cover, light winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime solar heating and instability. These conditions align with the market’s leading probabilities for 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against typical short-range uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. The pattern reflects a cooler-than-normal August air mass following recent unsettled weather, contrasting with the month’s 24–25°C climatological average. New 00Z and 12Z model runs plus surface observations over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,366終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on August 23, driven by widespread cloud cover, light winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime solar heating and instability. These conditions align with the market’s leading probabilities for 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against typical short-range uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. The pattern reflects a cooler-than-normal August air mass following recent unsettled weather, contrasting with the month’s 24–25°C climatological average. New 00Z and 12Z model runs plus surface observations over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問