Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% for 27°C and 26% for 28°C. Partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while southeasterly winds and moderate humidity in the Po Valley support the 26°C outcome at 27.5%. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect minor uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tight around these values ahead of final observational data from Milan Linate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のミラノの最高気温は?
27°C 34%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% for 27°C and 26% for 28°C. Partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while southeasterly winds and moderate humidity in the Po Valley support the 26°C outcome at 27.5%. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect minor uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tight around these values ahead of final observational data from Milan Linate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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