Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station indicate a high near 33–34°C on August 26 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and higher humidity, which limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Global and regional models show minor spread around this range, with some guidance edging toward 35°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Trader positioning clusters on 34–36°C outcomes because basin topography and urban heat effects can produce localized temperature variations, while the post-fu seasonal shift favors more frequent convective activity that caps extremes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance ahead of the 26th will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の成都の最高気温は?
35°C 25%
34°C 19%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 25%
34°C 19%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station indicate a high near 33–34°C on August 26 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and higher humidity, which limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Global and regional models show minor spread around this range, with some guidance edging toward 35°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Trader positioning clusters on 34–36°C outcomes because basin topography and urban heat effects can produce localized temperature variations, while the post-fu seasonal shift favors more frequent convective activity that caps extremes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance ahead of the 26th will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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