Forecast models for Miami's peak temperature on August 23 show tight clustering between 90–93°F because late-summer subtropical ridging and Atlantic moisture advection create modest day-to-day variability rather than decisive shifts. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF highlights sensitivity to afternoon sea-breeze convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and cloud-cover timing, any of which can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F. With no tropical cyclones or strong frontal passages in the short-term outlook, historical August climatology (near 91°F) anchors trader expectations alongside buoy and airport observations. Morning model updates will narrow the spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のマイアミの最高気温は?
92〜93°F 46%
90-91°F 38%
94~95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
38%
92〜93°F
46%
94~95°F
7%
96~97°F
2%
98°F以上
1%
92〜93°F 46%
90-91°F 38%
94~95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
38%
92〜93°F
46%
94~95°F
7%
96~97°F
2%
98°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Miami's peak temperature on August 23 show tight clustering between 90–93°F because late-summer subtropical ridging and Atlantic moisture advection create modest day-to-day variability rather than decisive shifts. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF highlights sensitivity to afternoon sea-breeze convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and cloud-cover timing, any of which can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F. With no tropical cyclones or strong frontal passages in the short-term outlook, historical August climatology (near 91°F) anchors trader expectations alongside buoy and airport observations. Morning model updates will narrow the spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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