Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on August 26 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers tied to peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan may enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress temperatures in localized areas, yet urban heat retention and weak steering patterns are keeping overnight lows above the August climatological average of ~26°C. Trader consensus across closely matched 27–29°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, with higher probabilities assigned to 32°C+ underscoring the risk of minimal cooling if skies remain clear. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の重慶の最低気温は?
32°C or higher 59%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
22°C or below
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
59%
32°C or higher 59%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
22°C or below
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on August 26 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers tied to peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan may enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress temperatures in localized areas, yet urban heat retention and weak steering patterns are keeping overnight lows above the August climatological average of ~26°C. Trader consensus across closely matched 27–29°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, with higher probabilities assigned to 32°C+ underscoring the risk of minimal cooling if skies remain clear. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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