Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime high near 25°C for London on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, yet variable cloud cover and modest humidity are limiting full solar heating and keeping the outcome uncertain. This uncertainty centers trader consensus on 22–24°C, as small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban effects can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Earlier August warmth has given way to more typical late-summer conditions, with no strong warm advection expected. Updated model runs and midday observations tomorrow will refine the maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のロンドンの最高気温は?
23°C 33%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
$13,679 Vol.
$13,679 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
25%
23°C
33%
24°C
22%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 33%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
$13,679 Vol.
$13,679 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
25%
23°C
33%
24°C
22%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime high near 25°C for London on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, yet variable cloud cover and modest humidity are limiting full solar heating and keeping the outcome uncertain. This uncertainty centers trader consensus on 22–24°C, as small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban effects can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Earlier August warmth has given way to more typical late-summer conditions, with no strong warm advection expected. Updated model runs and midday observations tomorrow will refine the maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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