Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月25日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
21°C 27%
20°C 22%
23°C or higher 21%
19°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
18%
20°C
22%
21°C
27%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
21%
21°C 27%
20°C 22%
23°C or higher 21%
19°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
13°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$59 Vol.
18%
20°C
$67 Vol.
22%
21°C
$47 Vol.
27%
22°C
$256 Vol.
16%
23°C or higher
$136 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$544終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$544終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問