Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のパリの最高気温は?
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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