Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
8月25日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
14°C 100.0%
9℃以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11℃ <1%
$11,786 Vol.
$11,786 Vol.
2026/08/25
9℃以下
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
はい
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃以上
いいえ
14°C 100.0%
9℃以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11℃ <1%
$11,786 Vol.
$11,786 Vol.
2026/08/25
9℃以下
$436 Vol.
いいえ
10°C
$251 Vol.
いいえ
11℃
$99 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$387 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$108 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$270 Vol.
はい
15°C
$4,071 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$3,199 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$2,275 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$480 Vol.
いいえ
19℃以上
$210 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$11,786終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,786終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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