Recent forecast model runs from agencies like NOAA and local Mexican meteorological services show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 31 likely falling between 11–14°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 12–15°C. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers tied to the peak rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-August variability, with any temporary clearing or heavier rainfall timing able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average minima near 12°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes below 10°C or above 16°C ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
8月31日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
7℃以下 53%
10℃ 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
7℃以下
53%
8℃
2%
9°C
5%
10℃
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C以上
47%
7℃以下 53%
10℃ 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
7℃以下
$0 Vol.
53%
8℃
$75 Vol.
2%
9°C
$75 Vol.
5%
10℃
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C以上
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like NOAA and local Mexican meteorological services show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 31 likely falling between 11–14°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 12–15°C. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers tied to the peak rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-August variability, with any temporary clearing or heavier rainfall timing able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average minima near 12°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes below 10°C or above 16°C ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$150終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like NOAA and local Mexican meteorological services show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 31 likely falling between 11–14°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 12–15°C. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers tied to the peak rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-August variability, with any temporary clearing or heavier rainfall timing able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average minima near 12°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes below 10°C or above 16°C ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$150終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like NOAA and local Mexican meteorological services show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 31 likely falling between 11–14°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 12–15°C. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers tied to the peak rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-August variability, with any temporary clearing or heavier rainfall timing able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average minima near 12°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes below 10°C or above 16°C ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問