**Consensus National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 98–100 °F in Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical late-August moisture keeps heat indices elevated without significantly boosting air temperatures. Recent forecast runs have remained stable, with no incoming fronts or increased moisture expected to alter the thermal profile before Monday. This tight clustering around the upper 90s to low 100s explains the heavy market weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月31日のオースティンの最高気温は？
98～99°F 53%
100〜101°F 38%
96〜97°F 9%
102〜103°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
4%
94〜95°F
6%
96〜97°F
9%
98～99°F
53%
100〜101°F
38%
102〜103°F
7%
104-105°F
5%
106～107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
98～99°F 53%
100〜101°F 38%
96〜97°F 9%
102〜103°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
89°F以下
$18 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$18 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$0 Vol.
4%
94〜95°F
$0 Vol.
6%
96〜97°F
$24 Vol.
9%
98～99°F
$184 Vol.
53%
100〜101°F
$120 Vol.
38%
102〜103°F
$24 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
5%
106～107°F
$18 Vol.
<1%
108°F以上
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 98–100 °F in Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical late-August moisture keeps heat indices elevated without significantly boosting air temperatures. Recent forecast runs have remained stable, with no incoming fronts or increased moisture expected to alter the thermal profile before Monday. This tight clustering around the upper 90s to low 100s explains the heavy market weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$424終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 98–100 °F in Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical late-August moisture keeps heat indices elevated without significantly boosting air temperatures. Recent forecast runs have remained stable, with no incoming fronts or increased moisture expected to alter the thermal profile before Monday. This tight clustering around the upper 90s to low 100s explains the heavy market weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$424終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Consensus National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 98–100 °F in Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical late-August moisture keeps heat indices elevated without significantly boosting air temperatures. Recent forecast runs have remained stable, with no incoming fronts or increased moisture expected to alter the thermal profile before Monday. This tight clustering around the upper 90s to low 100s explains the heavy market weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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