**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 32°C as the most likely high for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 57% implied probability.** Official and commercial models, including those from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international providers, consistently project a daytime maximum of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a chance of isolated showers or drizzle. These conditions reflect typical late-August subtropical monsoon patterns: warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, moderate humidity (70–85%), and limited solar heating due to cloud cover and precipitation (0–2 mm expected). Recent observations on August 28 showed highs near 30–32°C amid similar moist, easterly flow, providing a stable baseline without signs of intensification or rapid clearing that could push temperatures higher. Model agreement across runs reduces uncertainty around extremes, supporting trader emphasis on 32°C while assigning lower odds to 31°C or 33°C. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine any short-term shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の上海の最高気温は？
8月29日の上海の最高気温は？
32°C 57%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
新規
$17,606 Vol.
新規
$17,606 Vol.
2026/08/29
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
新規
$17,606 Vol.
新規
$17,606 Vol.
2026/08/29
26°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,318 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,570 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,800 Vol.
24%
32°C
$3,416 Vol.
57%
33°C
$3,962 Vol.
12%
34°C
$1,456 Vol.
2%
35°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 32°C as the most likely high for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 57% implied probability.** Official and commercial models, including those from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international providers, consistently project a daytime maximum of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a chance of isolated showers or drizzle.
These conditions reflect typical late-August subtropical monsoon patterns: warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, moderate humidity (70–85%), and limited solar heating due to cloud cover and precipitation (0–2 mm expected). Recent observations on August 28 showed highs near 30–32°C amid similar moist, easterly flow, providing a stable baseline without signs of intensification or rapid clearing that could push temperatures higher.
Model agreement across runs reduces uncertainty around extremes, supporting trader emphasis on 32°C while assigning lower odds to 31°C or 33°C. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine any short-term shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$17,606終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 32°C as the most likely high for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 57% implied probability.** Official and commercial models, including those from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international providers, consistently project a daytime maximum of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a chance of isolated showers or drizzle.
These conditions reflect typical late-August subtropical monsoon patterns: warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, moderate humidity (70–85%), and limited solar heating due to cloud cover and precipitation (0–2 mm expected). Recent observations on August 28 showed highs near 30–32°C amid similar moist, easterly flow, providing a stable baseline without signs of intensification or rapid clearing that could push temperatures higher.
Model agreement across runs reduces uncertainty around extremes, supporting trader emphasis on 32°C while assigning lower odds to 31°C or 33°C. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine any short-term shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,606終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 32°C as the most likely high for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 57% implied probability.** Official and commercial models, including those from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international providers, consistently project a daytime maximum of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a chance of isolated showers or drizzle. These conditions reflect typical late-August subtropical monsoon patterns: warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, moderate humidity (70–85%), and limited solar heating due to cloud cover and precipitation (0–2 mm expected). Recent observations on August 28 showed highs near 30–32°C amid similar moist, easterly flow, providing a stable baseline without signs of intensification or rapid clearing that could push temperatures higher. Model agreement across runs reduces uncertainty around extremes, supporting trader emphasis on 32°C while assigning lower odds to 31°C or 33°C. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine any short-term shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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