Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 indicate a high near 31–34°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms triggered by typhoon peripheral flow, a shift from the prior multi-day stretch of 36–38°C readings. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance centers points to cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating, with slight variations in rainfall timing and intensity creating the narrow spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical late-August baselines, where similar rain events have capped peaks 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の武漢の最高気温は?
33°C 30%
32°C 26%
35°C or higher 13.1%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
26%
33°C
30%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
13%
33°C 30%
32°C 26%
35°C or higher 13.1%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
26%
33°C
30%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 indicate a high near 31–34°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms triggered by typhoon peripheral flow, a shift from the prior multi-day stretch of 36–38°C readings. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance centers points to cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating, with slight variations in rainfall timing and intensity creating the narrow spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical late-August baselines, where similar rain events have capped peaks 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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