Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on August 28 likely between 36–38°C, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure that has sustained heatwave conditions across the region. Increasing moisture and cloud cover from peripheral influences of distant tropical systems, combined with a developing frontal boundary, are expected to limit afternoon intensification and introduce scattered showers by evening, preventing extremes above 39°C. Official outlooks converge on daily highs near 36–37°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate humidity, consistent with climatological August peaks but tempered by the approaching transition. These conditions explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes, reflecting traders' assessment of model consensus and the narrow window for peak heating before precipitation arrives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の重慶の最高気温は?
37°C 38%
36°C 26%
38°C 23%
35°C 10%
$15,136 Vol.
$15,136 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
26%
37°C
38%
38°C
23%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 38%
36°C 26%
38°C 23%
35°C 10%
$15,136 Vol.
$15,136 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
26%
37°C
38%
38°C
23%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on August 28 likely between 36–38°C, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure that has sustained heatwave conditions across the region. Increasing moisture and cloud cover from peripheral influences of distant tropical systems, combined with a developing frontal boundary, are expected to limit afternoon intensification and introduce scattered showers by evening, preventing extremes above 39°C. Official outlooks converge on daily highs near 36–37°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate humidity, consistent with climatological August peaks but tempered by the approaching transition. These conditions explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes, reflecting traders' assessment of model consensus and the narrow window for peak heating before precipitation arrives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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