Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate an organized thunderstorm complex developing across Île-de-France on August 27, introducing cloud cover, 70% rain probability, and 6–10 mm of precipitation that should limit afternoon heating. This drives the narrow market spread between 26°C and 27°C as the most probable maxima, with 25°C close behind. Steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s before storms arrive or remain nearer the climatological August mean of 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings on storm timing remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のパリの最高気温は？
8月27日のパリの最高気温は？
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
20°C or below
$385 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$40 Vol.
3%
25°C
$74 Vol.
12%
26°C
$106 Vol.
27%
27°C
$231 Vol.
28%
28°C
$114 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$106 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate an organized thunderstorm complex developing across Île-de-France on August 27, introducing cloud cover, 70% rain probability, and 6–10 mm of precipitation that should limit afternoon heating. This drives the narrow market spread between 26°C and 27°C as the most probable maxima, with 25°C close behind. Steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s before storms arrive or remain nearer the climatological August mean of 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings on storm timing remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,162終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate an organized thunderstorm complex developing across Île-de-France on August 27, introducing cloud cover, 70% rain probability, and 6–10 mm of precipitation that should limit afternoon heating. This drives the narrow market spread between 26°C and 27°C as the most probable maxima, with 25°C close behind. Steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s before storms arrive or remain nearer the climatological August mean of 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings on storm timing remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,162終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate an organized thunderstorm complex developing across Île-de-France on August 27, introducing cloud cover, 70% rain probability, and 6–10 mm of precipitation that should limit afternoon heating. This drives the narrow market spread between 26°C and 27°C as the most probable maxima, with 25°C close behind. Steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s before storms arrive or remain nearer the climatological August mean of 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings on storm timing remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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