**Recent forecasts from sources like Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, most likely in the 18–20°C range, consistent with the market's leading probabilities on 19°C (40%) and 20°C (22.5%).** A period of increased cloud cover, light rain or showers, and a milder southwesterly flow is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer, drier conditions. This setup typically holds overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of ~13.7°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out near dawn around 19°C in many runs, with 17–18°C possible under slightly clearer breaks and 20–21°C more likely if cloud or urban heat effects strengthen. Model consensus has firmed in the past 24–48 hours toward this band, with limited spread supporting the current trader weighting. Resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station reading; any last-minute shift in cloud timing or wind could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のパリの最低気温は？
8月27日のパリの最低気温は？
19℃ 40%
20°C 22%
18℃ 17%
21°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
14℃以下
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18℃
17%
19℃
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
14%
22°C
8%
23℃
3%
24°C以上
5%
19℃ 40%
20°C 22%
18℃ 17%
21°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
14℃以下
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18℃
$93 Vol.
17%
19℃
$115 Vol.
40%
20°C
$80 Vol.
22%
21°C
$9 Vol.
14%
22°C
$116 Vol.
8%
23℃
$705 Vol.
3%
24°C以上
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, most likely in the 18–20°C range, consistent with the market's leading probabilities on 19°C (40%) and 20°C (22.5%).**
A period of increased cloud cover, light rain or showers, and a milder southwesterly flow is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer, drier conditions. This setup typically holds overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of ~13.7°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out near dawn around 19°C in many runs, with 17–18°C possible under slightly clearer breaks and 20–21°C more likely if cloud or urban heat effects strengthen.
Model consensus has firmed in the past 24–48 hours toward this band, with limited spread supporting the current trader weighting. Resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station reading; any last-minute shift in cloud timing or wind could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,133終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, most likely in the 18–20°C range, consistent with the market's leading probabilities on 19°C (40%) and 20°C (22.5%).**
A period of increased cloud cover, light rain or showers, and a milder southwesterly flow is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer, drier conditions. This setup typically holds overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of ~13.7°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out near dawn around 19°C in many runs, with 17–18°C possible under slightly clearer breaks and 20–21°C more likely if cloud or urban heat effects strengthen.
Model consensus has firmed in the past 24–48 hours toward this band, with limited spread supporting the current trader weighting. Resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station reading; any last-minute shift in cloud timing or wind could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,133終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Recent forecasts from sources like Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, most likely in the 18–20°C range, consistent with the market's leading probabilities on 19°C (40%) and 20°C (22.5%).** A period of increased cloud cover, light rain or showers, and a milder southwesterly flow is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer, drier conditions. This setup typically holds overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of ~13.7°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out near dawn around 19°C in many runs, with 17–18°C possible under slightly clearer breaks and 20–21°C more likely if cloud or urban heat effects strengthen. Model consensus has firmed in the past 24–48 hours toward this band, with limited spread supporting the current trader weighting. Resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station reading; any last-minute shift in cloud timing or wind could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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