Latest forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under increasing cloud cover with a moderating Atlantic flow on August 26, limiting daytime heating and positioning maximum temperatures near 27–29°C. Ensemble guidance indicates limited instability and no strong high-pressure ridge to drive further warming, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28–30°C outcomes. Recent shifts in model runs have tightened the range around these values while historical August climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, underscoring the slightly above-average but capped conditions expected tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のパリの最高気温は?
29°C 37%
28°C 23%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
37%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 23%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
37%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under increasing cloud cover with a moderating Atlantic flow on August 26, limiting daytime heating and positioning maximum temperatures near 27–29°C. Ensemble guidance indicates limited instability and no strong high-pressure ridge to drive further warming, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28–30°C outcomes. Recent shifts in model runs have tightened the range around these values while historical August climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, underscoring the slightly above-average but capped conditions expected tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問