Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers show Chengdu likely reaching a daily maximum of 35–36°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance solar insolation across the Sichuan Basin, where topography often traps heat and reduces mixing. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon convection timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the primary observing station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の成都の最高気温は？
8月27日の成都の最高気温は？
36°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 18%
34°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
27%
36°C
34%
37°C
18%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 18%
34°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
30°C or below
$202 Vol.
1%
31°C
$155 Vol.
2%
32°C
$111 Vol.
2%
33°C
$160 Vol.
5%
34°C
$49 Vol.
15%
35°C
$154 Vol.
27%
36°C
$314 Vol.
34%
37°C
$22 Vol.
18%
38°C
$2,387 Vol.
2%
39°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$151 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers show Chengdu likely reaching a daily maximum of 35–36°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance solar insolation across the Sichuan Basin, where topography often traps heat and reduces mixing. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon convection timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$3,774終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers show Chengdu likely reaching a daily maximum of 35–36°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance solar insolation across the Sichuan Basin, where topography often traps heat and reduces mixing. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon convection timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,774終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers show Chengdu likely reaching a daily maximum of 35–36°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance solar insolation across the Sichuan Basin, where topography often traps heat and reduces mixing. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon convection timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the primary observing station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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