**Trader sentiment for Singapore's August 26 highest temperature centers on 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting consistent model consensus for a day with scattered thundery showers under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** These showers, typical in late August, increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating, moderating daytime maxima relative to clearer periods earlier in the month when readings reached 34°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like the Singapore Meteorological Service, Met Office, and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 30–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), with 31°C frequently cited alongside 60–70% rain probability. Humidity near 70–75% and light southeasterly winds further limit extreme heat, while afternoon convection often peaks after the daily maximum is recorded. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a climatological anchor. The market's slight edge to 32°C (44%) over 31°C (28.5%) likely incorporates minor model spread and recent above-average warmth, but the narrow 1–2°C window underscores the low likelihood of outliers above 33°C or below 30°C given stable steering patterns and expected precipitation timing. New observational data or updated model runs the morning of August 26 will be the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 44%
31°C 29%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 29%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Singapore's August 26 highest temperature centers on 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting consistent model consensus for a day with scattered thundery showers under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** These showers, typical in late August, increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating, moderating daytime maxima relative to clearer periods earlier in the month when readings reached 34°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like the Singapore Meteorological Service, Met Office, and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 30–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), with 31°C frequently cited alongside 60–70% rain probability. Humidity near 70–75% and light southeasterly winds further limit extreme heat, while afternoon convection often peaks after the daily maximum is recorded. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a climatological anchor. The market's slight edge to 32°C (44%) over 31°C (28.5%) likely incorporates minor model spread and recent above-average warmth, but the narrow 1–2°C window underscores the low likelihood of outliers above 33°C or below 30°C given stable steering patterns and expected precipitation timing. New observational data or updated model runs the morning of August 26 will be the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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