Ongoing extreme heat across North Texas, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly flow, positions Dallas for a peak temperature near 105°F on August 25. National Weather Service forecasts center on a high of 106°F under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the 50s, supporting efficient surface heating. Recent model consensus from the past 48 hours has held steady without significant cooling signals or convective disruption, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F. Historical August precedents and the active heat advisory reinforce trader focus on the 104–105°F and 102–103°F bins as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のダラスの最高気温は?
104-105°F 47%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 18%
100-101°F 5.5%
$10,208 Vol.
$10,208 Vol.
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
18%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 47%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 18%
100-101°F 5.5%
$10,208 Vol.
$10,208 Vol.
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
18%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing extreme heat across North Texas, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly flow, positions Dallas for a peak temperature near 105°F on August 25. National Weather Service forecasts center on a high of 106°F under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the 50s, supporting efficient surface heating. Recent model consensus from the past 48 hours has held steady without significant cooling signals or convective disruption, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F. Historical August precedents and the active heat advisory reinforce trader focus on the 104–105°F and 102–103°F bins as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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